Showing 1 - 10 of 123
This paper studies relationships between the local determinacy of a stationary equilibrium in the perfect foresight dynamics, and its local stability in dynamics arising from econometric learning procedures. Attention is focused on linear scalar economies where agents forecast only one period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899082
This article investigates whether the formation of individual inflation expectations is biased towards a consensus and … individual level inflation expectations is proposed using a Markov chain Monte Carlo Hierarchical Bayesian estimation method …. This method is applied to micro survey data about inflation expectations of households from the monthly French household …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025927
nominal variables. Money is not neutral, either in the short-run or long-run, and a localized version of the quantity theory … policy is ineffective ; above this threshold inflation rises. Finally, market liquidity, measured through the speed of real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603678
We use laboratory experiments with human subjects to test the relevance of di-fferent inflation targeting regimes. In … particular and within the standard New Keynesian model, we evaluate to what extent communication of the inflation target is … relevant to the success of inflation targeting. We -find that if the central bank only cares about inflation stabilization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899555
While the mainstream policies can not be surpassed in the enchanted ‘optimizable'world, (Post) Keynesians have to resign themselves to manage without magic wand inthe uncertain real world. The paper discusses the monetary rules proposed in the recentPost Keynesian literature. It argues that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792683
Based on panel data of 58 countries, of which 22 Inflation Targeters and 36 non Inflation Targeters, over the period … 1980-2003, this paper highlights the effect of Inflation Targeting – IT- on Fiscal Discipline –FD-. We make four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794278
central banks' monetary policy must be credible if the authorities want to curb inflation. A second view is that central banks … set their monetary policy by using all the information relevant for inflation and output projections. In Europe, a … controversy has emerged about the role of monetary aggregates as useful indicators of future inflation and output. On one hand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793951
A few years after the publication of The General Theory, a number of economists began to present Keynes's model … foundations of Keynes's theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899400
According to the literature, in an expectations-augmented Phillips curve model, opacity is always preferred to transparency on central bank forecasts. By modelling the private sector's behavior explicitly, we show that transparency reduces the shocks. Consequently, transparency can be preferred.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008804708
This paper aims to analyze learning as a two-type process. A dynamic equilibrium process represents a stable learning process, that may express an individualistic behavioral learning or an organizational adaptation. A teleological process represents an intentional, goal-oriented, learning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750849