Showing 1 - 10 of 38
Measuring the risk of a financial portfolio involves two steps: estimating the loss distribution of the portfolio from available observations and computing a ``risk measure" which summarizes the risk of the portfolio. We define the notion of ``risk measurement procedure", which includes both of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793218
well-known phenomenon, namely the existence of a positive bias in experts' anticipations: the latter tend to over …-estimate earnings. In this paper, we study the properties of this bias according to various aspects, that is to say according to country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788892
information at the principal's advantage, we test experimentally the principal's willingness to bias (overestimate or under …) principals do bias information, ii) agents trust the cheap-talk messages they receive and adjust their effort accordingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790485
The recent period has highlighted a well-known phenomenon, namely the existence of a positive bias in experts … contributions are twofold: we provide explanatory bias prediction models which will subsequently allow the calculation of earnings … adjusted forecasts, for horizons from 1 to 24 months. We explain the bias using macroeconomic as well as sector and firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792953
The paper investigates whether, as is often suggested by the literature, diversification towards the non-agricultural sector is considered as a risk-mitigating strategy by rural Pakistani households. This issue has already been addressed but usually as an ex post mechanism, i.e. smoothing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750552
inflation, both as an objective and as an intermediate instrument. We want to show that other variables like employment can be … that they can be function of employment only, which then dominates inflation for use in the policy rule. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929093
should respond more than one for one to inflation. This model yields explicit solutions for the optimal rule. We find that … underlying shocks, or which measure of inflation is used. In general the optimal elasticity of the interest rate with respect to … inflation needs not be greater than one. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930174
Le passage à l'Union économique et monétaire dans la mesure où chaque pays demeure souverain n'a pas d'équivalent dans l'histoire. La banque centrale européenne a donc dû mettre en place une coopération efficace avec les banques centrales nationales dans un contexte institutionnel et...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645463
In the late 90's, after severe financial and economic crisis, accompanied by inflation and exchange rate instability …, Eastern Europe emerged into two groups of countries with radically contrasting monetary regimes (Currency Boards and Inflation … relationship between inflation, output growth, nominal and real uncertainties from 2000 till now. In other words, we test the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010755512
This paper o¤ers to investigate both the Friedman's and Mishkin's hypotheses on the consequences of inflation on output … countries, we distinguish between short-medium and long run and between headline and core inflation. We get two main results …. First, nominal uncertainty and inflation are positively linked. Second, headline inflation negatively Granger causes out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738523