Araujo, Claudio; Bonjean, Catherine Araujo; Brunelin, … - HAL - 2011
production shortages and prevent food crisis. The objective of this paper is to show that cereal market prices also bring useful … information on future food availability that could complete current early warning disposals. Indeed, at any point in time prices … are informative not only on the state of present food availability but also on agents' expectations about future …