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This paper examines circumstances under which subjectivity enhances the effectiveness of inductive reasoning. We consider a game in which Fate chooses a data generating process and agents are characterized by inference rules that may be purely objective (or data-based) or may incorporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820878
prediction, and to show that a logically omniscient reasoner gains nothing from using counterfactuals for prediction. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898891
Econometric modelling of Winter Olympic Games to explain sporting outcomes with economic variables, then predicting the medal distribution at the next Games, Sochi 2014.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011025595