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indicators, using a set of Bayesian S-VAR models. Finally, forecast error variance decomposition analysis and impulse response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008804710
income distribution using a panel Bayesian structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model, for a set of 49 countries over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008835389
African food crisis. Lesotho is cited as one of the countries affected by food insecurity and was the first to declare a … national emergency. But what is the real picture in Lesotho, how much is the current food insecurity caused by drought compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821097
After four decades of conflict, the cease-fire signed in April 2002 offers Angola the best opportunity in generations to forge a more equitable growth path, and to reformulate a governing apparatus that serves the needs of the population. Given that the balance of power has definitively shifted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010898923
Since the mid-1990s, the world imbalances have increased significantly with a large US current deficit facing Asian surpluses, mainly Chinese. Since 2007, a partial reduction of these imbalances has been obtained, largely thanks to production's decreases, without large exchange rate adjustments....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226839
Since the mid-1990s, we observe an increase of world current account imbalances. These imbalances have only been partially reduced since the burst of the crisis in 2007. They reflect, to some extent, exchange rate misalignments, an issue which has been frequently studied in the literature....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008789089
We use a two-sector neoclassical open economy model with traded and non-traded goods to investigate both the aggregate and the sectoral e®ects of temporary ¯scal shocks. One central ¯nding is that both sectoral capital intensities and labor supply elasticity matter in determining the response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821494
This paper analyzes the relation between nominal exchange rate volatility and several macroeconomic variables, namely real per output growth, excess credit, foreign direct investment (FDI) and the current account balance, in the Central and Eastern European EU Member States. Using panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792016
This contribution shows that the duration of a fisscal shock together with sectoral capital intensity matter in determining the dynamic and steady-state effects in an intertemporal-optimizing two-sector small open economy model. First, unlike a permanent shock, net foreign asset position always...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792684
In this paper we analyze the ability of an open economy version of the neoclassical model to account for the time-series evidence on fiscal policy transmission. In a first step, we identify government spending shocks within a vector autoregression model. We find that i) government spending...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793608