propose a method to estimate an index of ex ante vulnerability to poverty, defined as the probability of being poor in the … generates a vulnerability index, or predicted probability of future poverty, which performs well in predicting future poverty …Traditional poverty measures fail to indicate the degree of risk of becoming or remaining poor that households are …

inference with poverty indices is satisfactory. We find that the major cause is the extreme sensitivity of many inequality …

The starting point of this paper is given by country situations where trade liberalization is expected to be poverty … and inequality alleviating in the long run while inducing a short run increase in poverty or in inequality. The question … trade policies within a global policy framework so as to enhance growth and reduce poverty and inequality. The method …