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market depth) or increase (due to more speculation) volatility. As the identification of these effects ultimately remains an … empirical question, we use daily data from April 2005 to April 2008 to document volatility behavior in the EU ETS. By … instrumenting various GARCH models, endogenous break tests, and rolling window estimations, our results overall suggest that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794422
unequivocally clear picture of the trade impacts of changes in exchange rates. The impact of exchange rate volatility on trade also … their volatility on trade flows in China, the Euro area and the United States in two broadly defined sectors, agriculture on … the one hand and manufacturing and mining on the other. It finds that exchange volatility impacts trade flows only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899210
We overview different methods of modeling volatility of stock prices and exchange rates, focusing on their ability to … is the central topic of this study. We propose a detailed survey of recent volatility models, accounting for multiple … horizons. These models are based on different and sometimes competing theoretical concepts. They belong either to GARCH or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738497
This paper o¤ers to investigate both the Friedman's and Mishkin's hypotheses on the consequences of inflation on output growth. To this end, we first base these hypotheses in a unified framework. Second, in an empirical work based on OECD countries, we distinguish between short-medium and long...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738523
In this paper, we present an alternative to the Black Scholes model for a discrete time economy using GARCH-type models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750905
This paper aims to provide a unified theoretical framework of the two hypotheses proposed by Friedman: (i). increased variability of money supply results in the decline of income velocity of money and (ii) high inflation leads high variability of inflation which reduces potential output growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643784
Since the underlying of the weather derivatives is not a traded asset, these contracts cannot be evaluated by the traditional financial theory. Cao and Wei (2004) price them by using the consumption-based asset pricing model of Lucas (1978) and by assuming different values for the constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793897
issue by characterizing the conditional and unconditional distributions of the realized volatility for the 2008 futures … volatility measures from naive, kernel-based and subsampling estimators are used to obtain inferences about the distributional … and dynamic properties of the ECX emissions futures volatility. The distribution of the daily realized volatility in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794324
. Oil markets have become relatively free, resulting in a high degree of oil-price volatility and generating radical changes … to world energy and oil industries. As a result oil markets are naturally vulnerable to significant negative volatility …. These models are compared to the performances of other well-known modelling techniques, such as GARCH, historical simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794366
volatility over time. This study assesses the impact of structural changes and outliers on volatility persistence of three crude … modified ICSS test developed by Sansó et al. (2004) and then incorporate this information into the volatility modeling. Our … results indicated that the degree of persistence of volatility is reduced by incorporating the variance changes into the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558719