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This chapter of a collective book aims at presenting the basics of decision making under risk. We first define notions … of risk and increasing risk and recall definitions and classifications (that are valid independently of any … representation) of behavior under risk. We then review the classical model of expected utility due to von Neumann and Morgenstern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738471
This paper provides a general framework for a unifying treatment of stochastic dominance of any degree and of any type (direct or inverse for each final or intermediary level). It gives the conditions for the congruence between stochastic dominance and classes of utility functions in this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010821246
Certain areas related to the topics under discussion here lie outside my field; for instance the evaluation of risk … powers to analyse the risk decision-making process over some years now. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794056
In this paper, we consider a financial market with assets exposed to some risks inducing jumps in the asset prices, and which can still be traded after default times. We use a default-intensity modeling approach, and address in this incomplete market context the problem of maximization of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793843
Le modèle de marche au hasard en finance peut être considéré comme issu de la convergence de trois préoccupations distinctes : une préoccupation morale avec Jules Regnault (1834-1894), une préoccupation scientifique avec Louis Bachelier (1870-1946), et une préoccupation financière avec...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010899792
consequences. By properly assessing the outcomes involved - especially those concerning human life - economic theory of choice … under uncertainty is expected to help people take the best decision. However, the widely used expected utility theory values …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645480
Since von Neuman and Morgenstern's (1944) contribution to game theory, a rational decision maker will rank risky … the probability that he wins the bet is given by its expected utility. Probalities are precise objects to model risk, but … the way they do it is incoherent (Dubois and Prade (1988)). A familiar object in fuzzy set theory is the one of necessity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750510
In this paper we want to explore an argumentative pattern that provides a normative justification for expected utility functions grounded on empirical evidence, showing how it worked in three different episodes of their development. The argument claims that we should prudentially maximize our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750601
This paper proposes an experiment about the attitude toward probabilities on a population of portfolio managers. Its aim is to check whether or not portfolio managers are neutral toward probabilities. Meanwhile, it presents a experimental protocole that highlights an inconsistency between two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010738619
congested road network. Drivers vary in their degree of risk aversion with respect to travel time. Four information regimes are … ranked in general. Free or Costly information can decrease the expected utility of drivers who are very risk-averse, and with … sufficient risk aversion in the population the aggregate compensating variation for information can be negative. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793408