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Earnings forecast bias - a statistical analysis
Michalon, Karine; Lardic, Sandrine; Dossou, François - HAL - 2005
well-known phenomenon, namely the existence of a positive bias in experts' anticipations: the latter tend to over …-estimate earnings. In this paper, we study the properties of this bias according to various aspects, that is to say according to country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008788892
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Biased
 Information 
and
 Effort
Rosaz, Julie - HAL - 2012
information at the principal's advantage, we test experimentally the principal's willingness to bias (overestimate or under …) principals do bias information, ii) agents trust the cheap-talk messages they receive and adjust their effort accordingly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008790485
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Can earnings forecasts be improved by taking into account the forecast bias?
Dossou, François; Lardic, Sandrine; Michalon, Karine - HAL - 2008
The recent period has highlighted a well-known phenomenon, namely the existence of a positive bias in experts … contributions are twofold: we provide explanatory bias prediction models which will subsequently allow the calculation of earnings … adjusted forecasts, for horizons from 1 to 24 months. We explain the bias using macroeconomic as well as sector and firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008792953
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How to correctly assess mortality benefits in public policies
Chanel, Olivier; Scapecchi, Pascale; Vergnaud, … - HAL - 2006
AbstractThis paper concerns the difficulty of taking long-term effects on health into account in an economic valuation. Indeed, public decision makers should incorporate the cessation lag between implementation of an abatement policy and achievement of all of the expected mortality-related...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010750714
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Atmospheric Pollution, Environmental Justice and Mortality Rate : a Spatial Approach
Lavaine, Emmanuelle - HAL - 2010
This paper presents the first study of environmental inequality related to health in France at the national scale. Through an econometric analysis based on a panel data from 2000 to 2004 at a department level, we investigate total mortality rate in relation to socioeconomic status and air...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603686
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Do Political Institutions protect the poor? Intra Countries Health Inequalities and Air Pollution in Developing Countries
Drabo, Alassane - HAL - 2011
This paper examines the link between health inequalities, air pollution and political institutions. In health economics literature, many studies have assessed the association between environmental degradation and health outcomes. This paper extends this literature by investigating how air...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008924978
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Tradable driving rights in urban areas: their potential for tackling congestion and traffic-related pollution
Raux, Charles - HAL - 2007
Congestion pricing as a transport demand management measure is difficult to implement because most of motorists expect a deterioration of their welfare. Tradable driving rights (TDR), that is allocating quotas of driving rights for free to urban inhabitants, could be a more acceptable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793637
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A TEST OF CHEAP TALK IN DIFFERENT HYPOTHETICAL CONTEXTS: THE CASE OF AIR POLLUTION
Ami, Dominique; Aprahamian, Frédéric; Chanel, Olivier; … - HAL - 2009
We explore the influence of a neutral cheap talk script in three typical scenarios used in the CV literature devoted to the valuation of air pollution effects. We show that cheap talk has a differentiated effect depending on the scenario implemented. It decreases protest responses with no effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008793873
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Monetary Values for Air Pollution Risk of Death: A Contingent Valuation Survey
Chanel, Olivier; Luchini, Stephane - HAL - 2008
In this paper, we extend the individual dynamic model of life-time resource allocation to assess the monetary value given to the increase in survival probabilities of every member of a household induced by improved air quality. We then interpret this monetary value as a flow of Value of Life...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794194
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Willingness to Pay of Committed Citizens: A Field Experiment
Ami, Dominique; Chanel, Olivier; Aprahamian, Frédéric; … - HAL - 2008
In this paper, we propose a behavioural approach to determine the extent to which the consumer/citizen distinction affects interpretations of monetary values. We perform a field experiment dealing with air pollution, where some (randomly selected) subjects are given the opportunity to behave...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794810