We study the transmission of monetary policy from the United States to Canada under flexible exchange rates. Our results suggest that flexible exchange rates insulate a country from foreign monetary disturbances. We find that the direct effect of a monetary contraction in the U.S. is a small...

After a quarter of a century of floating among the major currencies, exchange rate policy is still source of vexation, and the appropriate choice is by no means clear. Should a country allow its currency to float, subject perhaps to exchange market interventionl from time to time? Or should it...

We argue that allowing for the possibility of a self-fulfilling panic helps understand several features of the recent Mexican Crisis. We present a simple model too explain how and why multiple equilibria can occur for some levels of reserves or debt, but not for others.

Interest rate expectations are essential to exchange rate determination. Using a unique survey data set on interest rates forecasts from 1986 to 1995 for G7 countries, we find that there were more persistent interest rate shocks in sample than there were expected by the market.