The paper offers an empirical taxonomy of the factors driving China's current account. A simple present-value model with non-tradeable goods explains more than 70 percent of current account variability over the period 1982-2007, including the persistent surpluses since 2001. Expected increases...

Considerable attention has been devoted in the financial literature to excessive portfolio concentrations in domestic risky assets relative to those predicted by standard finance models-generally identified as"home bias"-across international markets. The innovation we offer is ascribing home...

We analyze the cross-border propagation of systemic risk in the international sovereign debt market. Using daily data on CDS spreads for 67 sovereign borrowers from 2002 to 2013 we define sovereign credit events as those in which the spread widens by more than 99.9% of all spread changes within...

Since the 2008 global financial crisis, China has rolled out a number of initiatives to actively promote the international role of the renminbi and to denominate more of its international claims away from the US dollar and into the renminbi. This paper discusses the factors shaping the prospects...

We define decoupling as an increase in the cross-country heterogeneity in long-term growth expectations. We identify growth expectations from a cointegrating relation between a country's output level and its stock market valuation. Fluctuations in this output-price or yp-ratio reflect changes in...

We analysed the interactions between the RMB deliverable forward markets in Mainland China and Hong Kong. In order to broaden our perspective, we reference this to the Eurodollar market from the late 1950s to early 1980s. Our findings suggest that onshore regulations, notably the Regulation Q...

The paper draws a link between the conditions for low pass-through when there are flexible prices, and local-currency pricing when there are sticky nominal prices. It shows that the condition under which pass-through is less than one-half when prices are flexible is the same as the condition...

The paper provides a unified analysis of globalization effects on the inflation-output tradeoff and monetary policy, in the New-Keynesian framework. The main proposition of the paper is threefold. First, labor, goods, and capital mobility tend to flatten the tradeoff between inflation and...

We examine speculative attacks in a controlled laboratory environment featuring continuous time, size asymmetries, and varying amounts of public information. Attacks succeeded in 233 of 344 possible cases. When speculators have symmetric size and access to information: (a) weaker fundamentals...

Using available annual data of 174 economies since 1957, we examine the similarities and differences of seven international reserve ratios. While individual international reserve ratios display substantial variations across economies, they are associated with an economy's characteristics...