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Strategic investment, industry concentration and the cross section of returns

Bustamante, Maria Cecilia - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2011

This paper provides an alternative real options framework to assess how firms' strategic interaction under imperfect competition a¤ects the industrial dynamics of investment, concentration, and expected returns. When firms have similar production technologies, the cross sectional variation in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071300

Diversification benefits and strategic portfolio allocation across asset classes: The case of the US markets

Arouri, Mohamed; Nguyen, Duc Khuong; Pukthuanthong, Kuntara - Institut de Préparation à l'Administration et à la … - 2014

We investigate the diversification benefits and optimal portfolio allocation across different US asset classes. Our results from applying the principal component analysis (PCA) show that although there is an increasing trend in market integration, five major financial markets (equities, bonds,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860496

Rational trader risk

Kondor, Peter - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2004

Allowing for a richer information structure than usual, we show that rational traders’ calculation with short-term price fluctuations may heavily influence their behaviour even if the interim price is not influenced by non-rational agents i.e. there is no noise trader risk. Instead, traders...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884635

Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?

Gupta, Rangan; Hammoudeh, Shawkat; Modise, Mampho P.; … - Institut de Préparation à l'Administration et à la … - 2013

This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754801

Portfolio choice beyond the traditional approach

Penaranda, Francisco - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2007

This paper surveys asset allocation methods that extend the traditional approach. An important feature of the traditional approach is that measures the risk and return tradeoff in terms of mean and variance of final wealth. However, there are also other important features that are not always...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010745189

The international diversification puzzle is not worse than you think

Julliard, Christian - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2002

This paper offers two main contributions. First, it shows how the Baxter and Jermann (1997) claim that, once we consider human capital risk, the international diversification puzzle is worse than we think, is based on an econometric misspecification rejected by the data. Second, it outlines how,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746135

Rational asset pricing implications from realistic trading frictions

Zigrand, Jean-Pierre - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2002

it is shown that arbitrage opportunities occur which could not have occured in a standard model. A certain and precise … degree of informativeness of prices to the traders is lost because the decision making process becomes endogenously segmented … and decentralized within the same decision making entity (distinct "trading desks"). It is shown that, compared to the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746573

Optimal expectations

Brunnermeier, Markus K.; Parker, Jonathan A. - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2002

the other hand, expectations that are biased towards optimism worsen decision making, leading to poorer realized outcomes …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746723

Long-Term Investment with Stochastic Interest and Inflation Rates Incompleteness and Compensating Variation

Mkouar, Farid; Prigent, Jean-Luc - Institut de Préparation à l'Administration et à la … - 2014

We examine the long term investment problem, under stochastic interest and inflation rates and incompleteness. Four basic financial assets are available on the financial market: a money market account (the cash), a real consumption good, a financial stock index and a bond with constant maturity....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010778668

Some historical perspectives on the Bond-Stock Earnings Yield Model for crash prediction around the world

Lleo, Sebastien; Ziemba, Bill - London School of Economics (LSE) - 2014

We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has called many but not all crashes. Those called have high...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011170088

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