Traditionally, nancial crisis Early Warning Systems (EWSs) rely on macroeconomic leading indicators to forecast the occurrence of such events. This paper extends such discrete-choice EWSs by taking into account the persistence of the crisis phenomenon. The dynamic logit EWS is estimated using an...

In this paper, we examine the correlations between hedge fund strategy indices and asset classes. Based on the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) GARCH Model, we estimate the correlations between hedge fund, stock, and bond indices during bull and bear markets. The results reveal that there...

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the gap risk of dynamic portfo- lio insurance strategies which generalize the "Constant Proportion Port- folio Insurance " (CPPI) method by allowing the multiple to vary. We illustrate our theoretical results for conditional CPPI strategies indexed on...

In this paper, we analyze the Kappa performance measures of portfolio returns having Johnson distributions. Kappa performance measures are based on downside risk measures, which better allows evaluating risk and performance of complex returns such as those of hedge funds. These measures take...