We develop models for examining possible predictors of the return on gold that embrace six global factors (business cycle, nominal, interest rate, commodity, exchange rate and stock price factors) and two uncertainty indices (the Kansas City Fed’s financial stress index and the U.S. Economic...

Business cycle synchronization has been one of the most debated issues in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries as it is the basic requirement for the stability of a monetary union that GCC countries have sought to wish to create in 2010. In this article, we attempt to investigate whether...

The purpose of this paper is to question the traditional conventional view on the exchange rate targeting that real shocks have

We consider the problem of accurate market risk modeling for agricultural commodity products over heterogeneous investment horizons using copulas and wavelet methods. Our results indicate that the degree and structure of the dependence of daily commodity returns on the three market risk factors...

This article investigates the potential of nonlinear causal relationships between world oil prices and stock markets in MENA countries during a black swan period that is characterized by rarity and devastating impacts. By using the nonlinear and asymmetric causality test of Kyrtsou and Labys...

This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive

In this article, we examine the recent trends in dependence structure between the fast-growing commodity markets and the stock markets in China in order to draw implications for portfolio investment. We address this issue by using copula functions that allow for measuring both average and tail...

This article investigates the dynamics of regional financial integration and its determinants in an international setting. We test a conditional version of the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) accounting for the deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) as well as temporal...

The aim of this article is to examine: how the dynamics of correlations between five emerging countries (Argentina, Chili, Hungary, Russia and Poland), two emerging regions (Latin America (LAC) and Europe (EU)) and U.S. evolved from January 2004 to September 2011. The main contribution of this...

This article investigates the dynamics of regional financial integration and its determinants in an international setting. We test a conditional version of the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) accounting for the deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) as well as temporal...