In this study we show that investor sentiment plays a key role in explaining trading intensity and market trend changes. Based on both econometric and fuzzy logic approaches, the empirical findings demonstrate that pessimistic sentiment has a particularly significant impact on the French...

Numerous recent studies indicate that investors’ information demand affects stock market return and volatility. In this paper, we contribute to the literature by investigating whether information demand is a significant determinant of liquidity in the French stock market. Our main findings...

This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...

This article studies the dynamic return and market price of risk for Chinese stocks (A-B shares). A Multivariate DCC-GARCH model is used to capture the feature of time-varying volatility in stock returns. We show evidence of different pricing mechanisms explained by the difference in the...

L’évaluation du prix des actifs est un problème récurrent en économie. Cette question se pose dans le domaine de l’immobilier comme dans d’autres domaines. Après une très forte phase de croissance, le marché immobilier américain a été touché à partir du mois de juin 2007 par...

In this note, we present a wealth model of a two-country economy where ffnancial assets and goods are traded. We consider the case where the agents are risk neutral, a very common assumption in ffnance in order to have explicit solutions for prices, and in particular in international ffnance for...

We consider a model with an finite number of states of nature where short sells are allowed.

Forecasting the density of returns is useful for many purposes in finance, such as risk manage- ment activities, portfolio choice or derivative security pricing. Existing methods to forecast the den- sity of returns either use prices of the asset of interest or option prices on this same asset....

In this paper, we first provide empirical evidence of the existence of intraday jumps in the crude oil price series. We then show that these jumps, in conjunction with realized volatility measures, are important in modeling the convenience yield over the 2001-2010 period. Our empirical results...

We develop a VAR-GRACH approach to invesigate shock and volatility transmissions between bank stock returns in Romania during the 2007-2009 international financial crisis.Our findings provide eveidence of significant shock and volatility transmissions between Romanian bank returns.We also show...