Les anticipations des taux d'intérêt révélées par les enquêtes de Consensus Economics auprès d'experts sur le marché de l'Eurofranc ne vérifient pas l'hypothèse de rationalité. Elles résultent d'un processus mixte fondé sur une complémentarité entre les modèles anticipatifs...

Agents can learn from financial markets to predict macroeconomic outcomes and learning dynamics can feed back into both the macroeconomy and financial markets. This paper builds on the adaptive learning (AL) model of Slobodyan andWouters (2012b) by introducing the term structure of interest...

L’approche d’Allais repose sur des concepts et postulats qui sont propres à son auteur et qui portent sur (i) le lien entre la mémoire du passé et l’anticipation du futur, (ii) le concept de temps psychologique, (iii) l’analogie entre l’oubli et l’intérêt, (iv) le concept de...

Sous l’hypothèse de prévisions parfaites et en horizon infini, nous proposons un modèle des choix de consommation d’un agent représentatif dont le revenu, à chaque période, se compose de son salaire et du rendement du stock d’actifs qu’il détient. Une partie de sa consommation est...

This paper attempts to model the relationship between monetary policy and financial asset prices. We develop an aggregative model under forward-looking rational expectations to analyse the optimal monetary policy response to stock prices and exchange rates shocks. We first demonstrate that a...

This paper deals with some issues that recently arised from the puzzling evolution of Stock Markets during the nineties, in particular from the sharp increase of equity prices on the Nasdaq. We examine the hypothesis according to which such a bullish market could be explained by investors'...

China’s importance for India as a trading partner has increased tremendously over the recent years. At the same time, China has become the main target of Indian antidumping measures with a number of measures that is unprecedented worldwide. This paper provides a detailed analysis of trade...

This paper evaluates the European Union’s antidumping (AD) policy from 1995-2009 with a special focus on the 2008-9 crisis. Combining product-level data on AD cases with detailed import data, we fail to find clear signs of a major trade policy change since the outbreak of the crisis. Our...

The aim of this paper is to examine common trends and common cycles in Belgian Sectoral output series. A multivariate technique proposed by Engle and Issler [1995] allows to deal with series which simultaneously contain common trends and common cycles. An application of their methodology for...

In December 2005, the Belgian government adopted the law on the Intergenerational Solidarity Pact (ISP) with the objective to increase the employment rate of the elderly. In order to meet that objective, several active ageing policies and reforms were taken. The aim of this paper is to...