In this paper, we develop a financial stress index for France that can be used as a real-time composite indicator for the state of financial stability in France. We take 17 financial variables from different market segments and extract a common stress component using a dynamic approximate factor...

This paper studies the behavior of price discovery within a context of an agent based stock market in which the twin assumptions namely, rational expectations and the representative agents normally made in mainstream economics, are removed. In this model, traders stochastically update their...

The author suggests the 2008 financial crisis was the culmination of an accelerating process of financial market evolution that is inherently unstable. From his viewpoint markets are not well organized to manage the power financial assets have to generate emotion and their wider effect on human...

The financial crisis 2008-2009 and the European sovereign debt crisis have shown that stress on financial markets is important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably reflected in many financial market variables, it is...

This paper develops a real options framework to analyze the behavior of stock returns in mergers and acquisitions. In this framework, the timing and terms of takeovers are endogenous and result from value-maximizing decisions. The implications of the model for abnormal announcement returns are...

This paper develops a default-risky bond pricing model, which assumes that the default intensity is driven by a Markov chain and which accounts for default and liquidity risk. A representation of the bond price dynamics, which separates three different types of risk, was obtained. Introducing...

In this paper, we extend the earlier results of Jeanblanc and Valchev (2003) in the single name case to the case of multiple defaults of the issuers in a concentrated industry or homo- geneous bond market. We provide solutions for the pairwise default correlations and credit spreads in an...

This paper presents a new method to detect informed trading activities in the options markets.An option trade is identified as informed when it is characterized by an unusual largeincrement in open interest and volume, induces large gains, and is not hedged in the stock market.For the period...

Using copula methods and simulation-based inference the authors address the association between the performance of the stocks of European banks and the CDS markets. Their analysis has three purposes: (i) analysing the dependence structure of the markets when extreme events occur; (ii) checking...

The 1987 stock market crash, the LTCM debacle, the Asian Crisis, the bursting of the high technology Dot-Com bubble of 2001-2 with 30% losses of equity values, events such as 9/11 and sudden corporate collapses of the magnitude of Enron - have radically changed the view that extreme events have...