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We study the dynamic utility indifference value process p(X) when the usefulness of X is evaluated via a dynamic monetary concave utility functional (DMCUF) instead of von Neumann/Morgenstern expected utility. A DMCUF is minus a dynamic convex risk measure. The key tools for our investigations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858886
Control problems with Recursive Multiple-Priors Utility (RMPU) are highly non-linear so that RMPU asset prices have been studied in very simple exchange economies only. We identify a continuous-time exchange equilibrium with Locally-Constrained-Entropy RMPU (LCE-RMPU) that is tractable even in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858066
This paper shows that in financial markets with endogenous asset supply and demand, both rational and noise traders do coexist in the long run. The finding implies that financial markets are neither informationally nor allocationally efficient. While rational traders have a consistently higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858738
Momentum strategies based on continuations in stock prices have become increas-ingly popular among academics, money managers, and investors in recent years. While there is little controversy on the profitability of momentum strategies, their implementation is afflicted with many difficulties....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858929
We study the exponential utility indifference valuation of a contingent claim B in an incomplete market driven by two Brownian motions. The claim depends on a nontradable asset stochastically correlated with the traded asset available for hedging. We use martingale arguments to provide upper and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857735
This paper studies modelling and existence issues for market models of stochastic implied volatility in a continuous-time framework with one stock, one bank account and a family of European options for all maturities with a fixed payoff function h. We first characterize absence of arbitrage in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858725
This paper complements theoretical studies on the Kelly rule in evolutionary finance by studying a Darwinian model of selection and reproduction in which the diversity of investment strategies is maintained through genetic programming. We find that investment strategies which optimize long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858334
The aim of this paper is to explain why cross-sectional estimated migration correlations displayed in the academic and professional literature can be either not consistent, or inefficient, and to discuss alternative approaches. The analysis relies on a model with stochastic migration in which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858516
In this paper we explain how to use rating histories provided by the internal scoring systems of banks and by rating agencies in order to predict the future risk of a set of borrowers. The method is developed following the steps suggested by the Basle Committee. To introduce both migration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858518
The prospect theory of Kahneman and Tversky (1979) and the cumulative prospect theory of Tversky and Kahneman (1992) are descriptive models for decision making that summarize several violations of the expected utility theory. This paper gives a survey of applications of prospect theory to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858528