We develop an algorithm to compute asset allocations for Kahneman and Tversky's (1979) prospect theory. An application to benchmark data as in Fama and French (1992) shows that the equity premium puzzle is resolved for parameter values similar to those found in the laboratory experiments of...

This paper examines how the evidence of stock market predictability affects optimal portfolio choice for buy-and-hold and dynamic investors with different planning horizons. As in Barberis (2000), particular attention is paid to estimation risk, i.e., uncertainty about the true values of the...

This paper uses statistical model selection criteria and Avramovs (2002) Bayesian model averaging approach to analyze the sample evidence on stock market predictability in the presence of model uncertainty. Based on Swiss stock market data, our posterior analysis finds that neither the...