We study the influence of systematic probability misestimation on complexfinancial investment decisions on the context of structured financialproducts. Structured products have in recent years become more and morecomplex. We study the question whether this complexity might be a...

Markowitz and Sharpe won the Nobel Prize in Economics more than a decade ago for the development of Mean-Variance analysis and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). In the year 2002, Kahneman won the Nobel Prize in Economics for the development of Prospect Theory. Can these two apparently...

Under the assumption of normally distributed returns, we analyzewhether the Cumulative Prospect Theory of Tversky and Kahneman (1992)is consistent with the Capital Asset Pricing Model. We find that in everyfinancial market equilibrium the Security Market Line Theorem holds.However, under the...

This paper shows that a stock market is evolutionary stable if andonly if stocks are evaluated by expected relative dividends. Any othermarket can be invaded by portfolio rules that will gain market wealthand hence change the valuation. In the model the valuation of assetsis given by the wealth...

This note shows that an investor who does not hold positive amounts of all available assets is eventually overtaken by a completely diversified rival investor.

In this paper we analyze the long-run dynamics of the market selection process among simple trading strategies in an incomplete asset market with endogenous prices. We identify a unique surviving financial trading strategy. Investors following this strategy asymptotically gather total market...

The paper analyzes the process of market selection of investment strategies in an incomplete market of short-lived assets. In the model under study, asset payos depend on exogenous random factors. Market participants use dynamic investment strategies taking account of available information about...