In single-obligor default risk modelling, using a background filtration in conjunction with a suitable embedding hypothesis (generally known as H-hypothesis or immersion property) has proven a very successful tool to separate the actual default event from the model for the default arrival...

We study the strategic asset allocation for an international investor. The recent empirical evidence on the partial predictability of asset returns has renewed theacademic and practical interest in strategic asset allocation. To model time varying returns on stocks, we use a Gaussian...

In this paper we show how cross-sectional correlations between Private Equity (PE) and Public Market Equity (PM) returns can be approximated, resolving the lack of time series PE data. Based on a sample comprising 2,380 realized PE projects, we observe low crosssectional correlations between PE...

In June 2003 Swiss banks held over CHF 500 billion in mortgages. This important segment accounts for about 63% of all loan portfolios of Swiss banks. Since default insurance is not common in Switzerland, the corresponding risks are a severe threat for the health of the financial system. We...

We introduce an adaptive importance sampling method for the loss distribution of credit portfolios based on the Robbins-Monro stochastic approximation procedure. After presenting the subtle construction of the algorithm, we apply our adaptive scheme for calculating the risk figures of a typical...

This paper presents an equilibrium model that provides a rational explanation for twofeatures of data that have been considered puzzling: The positive relation between USdividend yields and nominal interest rates, often called the Fed-model, and the time-varying correlation of US stock and bond...

In this paper we solve an intertemporal portfolio problem with correlation risk, using a new approach for the simultaneous modeling of stochastic correlation and volatility. The solutions of the model are in closed form and include an optimal portfolio demand for hedging correlation risk. We...

In this paper, we extend the earlier results of Jeanblanc and Valchev (2003) in the single name case to the case of multiple defaults of the issuers in a concentrated industry or homo- geneous bond market. We provide solutions for the pairwise default correlations and credit spreads in an...

A generalized correlated random walk is a process X_k of partial sums of random variables Y_j such that (X,Y) forms a Markov chain. For a sequence X^n of such processes where each Y^n_j takes only two values, we prove weak convergence to a diffusion process whose generator is explicitly...

Seit Begründung der modernen Portfoliotheorie ist bekannt, daß die Portfoliovolatilität im Fall niedriger Korrelationen zwischen den Anlageklassen bei sonst gleich bleibenden Parametern ohne Renditeeinbuße reduziert wird...