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In this paper we develop a structural equation model with latent variables in an ordinal setting which allows us to test broker-dealer predictive ability of financial market movements. We use a multivariate logit model in a latent factor framework, develop a tractable estimator based on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858728
volatility functions of stock returns exhibit pronounced GARCH and threshold features, their conditional correlation dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858198
We propose an affine term structure model which accommodates non-linearities in the drift and volatility function of … estimating conditional volatility and correlation across yields. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858872
We propose two alternative models to estimate fundamental prices on real estate markets. Both models state that the fundamental price is the sum of the discounted future period costs that arise from owning a house. The first model is based on a no-arbitrage condition between renting and buying a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858329
GARCH-type dynamics, has been shown to offer a plausible decomposition of the contributions to volatility, as well as … unexpected return shocks on future volatility is obtained, and large gains in terms of in-sample fit and out-of-sample VaR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858753
investigate the two most prominent puzzles related to low-frequency stock prices: The conditional volatility of price returns, and … to approximate the conditional volatility, quantified with a GARCH(1,1) process, that is observed in empirical price data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858738
The estimation of multivariate GARCH models remains a challenging task, even in modern computer environments. This manuscript shows how Independent Component Analysiscan be used to estimate the Generalized Orthogonal GARCH model in a fraction of the time otherwise required. The proposed method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857739
We evaluate how non-normality of asset returns and the temporal evolution of volatility and higher moments affects the … high as the fee she is willing to pay to benefit from volatility timing. Many tests of robustness are performed, yet, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858337
We propose a simple class of semiparametric multivariate GARCH models, allowing for asymmetric volatilities and time-varying conditional correlations. Estimates for time-varying conditional correlations are constructed by means of a convex combination of estimates for averaged correlations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858366
discuss the relations between the results obtained and the phenomenon of ”volatility-induced growth” in stationary markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857775