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stabilization of the homeowner’s net wealth, price the instruments, and quantify the expected decrease in the mortgage default risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858211
The validation of probability calibration is an inherently difficult task. We develop a testing procedure for credit-scoring models. The models comprise two components to check whether the ex-ante probabilities support the ex-post frequencies. The first component tests the level of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858376
In this paper, we study the economic benets from using credit scoring models. We contribute to the literature by relating the discriminatory power of a credit scoring model to the optimal credit decision. Given the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve of the credit scoring model, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858876
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857022
In this study, we examine whether changes in the investment opportunityset stemming from interest rate and credit risks are priced in the US, theUK and the Swiss equity premia by estimating both two-factor and three-factor versions of Merton’s ICAPM. The systematic pricing of credit riskis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857973
This paper examines latent risk factors in models for migration risk. We employ thestandard statistical framework for ordered categorical variables and induce dependencebetween migrations by means of latent risk factors. By assuming a Markov process forthe dynamics of the latent factors, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857974
Sustainable debt has become a key issue in rating of private as well as sovereign debtors. The problem of how to estimate sustainable debt has also been at the center of debate over theAsian 1997-1998 financial crisis. If the external value of the currency depends on the external debt of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858002
mortgage servicing data set and compare the resulting loss distributions to a well-known benchmark, i.e. the loss distribution … mortgage portfolio are shown to be greatly sensitive to the prevailing socio-economic scenario. We present evidence that … aggregated res-idential mortgage default risk is not only driven by the rating but also by variables such as the loan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858102
In single-obligor default risk modelling, using a background filtration in conjunction with a suitable embedding hypothesis (generally known as H-hypothesis or immersion property) has proven a very successful tool to separate the actual default event from the model for the default arrival...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858244
This paper develops a default-risky bond pricing model, which assumes that the default intensity is driven by a Markov chain and which accounts for default and liquidity risk. A representation of the bond price dynamics, which separates three different types of risk, was obtained. Introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858310