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investigate the two most prominent puzzles related to low-frequency stock prices: The conditional volatility of price returns, and … to approximate the conditional volatility, quantified with a GARCH(1,1) process, that is observed in empirical price data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858738
span the volatility risk, an investor increases her investment in theunderlying stock. In addition, the investors indirect … utility increases significantly when allowed to span the volatility risk using variance swap contracts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858375
We propose an affine term structure model which accommodates non-linearities in the drift and volatility function of … estimating conditional volatility and correlation across yields. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858872
The validation of probability calibration is an inherently difficult task. We develop a testing procedure for credit-scoring models. The models comprise two components to check whether the ex-ante probabilities support the ex-post frequencies. The first component tests the level of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858376
Economic cycles are the key credit portfolio risk driver and they are autocorrelated over time. We then show that it is economically meaningful to define risk for credit portfolios in a multi period setup. Since one period expected shortfall fails to measure risk adequately in a multi period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858869
We evaluate how non-normality of asset returns and the temporal evolution of volatility and higher moments affects the … high as the fee she is willing to pay to benefit from volatility timing. Many tests of robustness are performed, yet, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858337
various assumptions about the underlying price process including large drifts, stochastic volatility with leverage effects and … futures data sampled at a 5-minute frequency. A state-space framework reveals the latent stochastic volatility process and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858502
existing methods lies in its straightforward application to models with stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rates. We … exploit this advantage by providing an analysis of the impact of volatility mean-reversion, volatility of volatility, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857779
order belief", on asset price volatility. The paper shows that heterogeneous expectations induce higher order beliefs and … that heterogeneous expectation asset pricing models thoretically generate more volatility than rational expectation models … results shows that a model with higher order beliefs generates a level of volatility in line with the price volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857785
and economically strong effect on the implied volatility of currency options, on the shap e of the implied volatility … smile, on the volatility risk-premia, and on future currency returns. We do cument that the volatility of macro economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858023