The British Industrial Revolution triggered a reversal in the social order whereby the landed elite was replaced by industrial capitalists rising from the middle classesas the economically dominant group. Many observers have linked this transformation to the contrast in values between a...

In empirical modeling, there have been two strands for pricing in the options literature, namely the parametric and nonparametric models. Often, the support for the nonparametric methods is based on a benchmark such as theBlack-Scholes model with constant volatility. In this paper, we examine...

The aim of this study is to develop a general equilibrium framework linking real estate prices to the real economy. The model is evaluated in terms of its ability to explain: (i) the high volatility of residential real estate prices, (ii) the fact that commercial real estate prices are more...

In this paper we entertain the hypothesis that observed variations in income shares are the result of changes in the balance of power between workers and capital owners in labor relations. We show that this view implies that income share varia tions represent a risk factor of first-order...

Inspired by findings of lowdimensional nonlinearities and the Theorem of Takens (1983) forecasting models of financial time series are often built upon nonparametric, i.e. universal nonlinear, univariate relationships. Empirical investigations, however, are seriously contaminated by the problem...

We shed new light on the negative relationship between real stock returns or real interest rates and (i) ex post inflation, (ii) expected inflation, (iii) unexpected inflation and (iv) changes in expected inflation. Using the structural vector autoregression methodology, we propose a...

Conventional time series analysis, focusing exclusively on a time series at a given scale, lacks the ability to explain the nature of the data generating process. A process equation that successfully explains daily price changes, for example, is unable to characterize the nature of hourly price...

In this paper we propose a new approach to estimating the systematic risk (the beta of an asset). The proposed method is based on a wavelet multiscaling approach that decomposes a given time series on a scale-by-scale basis. The empirical results from different economies show that the...

In this paper, we investigate the relative performance of Value-at-Risk (VaR) models with the daily stock market returns of nine di.erent emerging markets. In addition to well-known modeling approaches such as variance-covariance method and historical simulation, we study the extreme value...

This paper presents an empirical investigation of scaling and multifractal properties of U.S. Dollar-Deutschemark (USD-DEM) returns. The data set is ten years of 5-minute returns. The cumulative return distributions of positive and negative tails at di.erent time intervals are linear in the...