Showing 1 - 10 of 16
On financial markets many investment decisions are taken by groups and not by individuals. The evidence, however, whether groups better than individuals, is ambigous. We analyze the portfolios of groups and individuals in an asset allocation task on an experimental market. We find that groups on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857732
Our objective is to identify the trading strategy that would allow an investor to take advantage of “excessive” stock price volatility and “sentiment” fluctuations. We construct a general-equilibrium model of sentiment. In it, there are two classes of agents and stock prices are excessively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857774
This paper analyzes the effects that uncertainty about economic fundamentalshas on aggregate trading volume. First, the trading volume of an investor facinga standard consumption portfolio choice problem is derived. It is found that if theparameters describing the investment opportunity set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857971
In this paper we show that reputation formation in endogenously formed relationships is a decisive determinant for the existence and performance of credit markets. In theabsence of any third party enforcement of debt repayment the contracting parties succeed in establishing stable bilateral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857994
This paper proposes a theory of investment fluctuations where the source of the oscillating dynamics is an agency problem between financiers and entrepreneurs. A central tenet of the theory is that investment decisions depend upon entrepreneurs’ initiative to select investment projects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858058
We examine how asymmetric information and competition in the credit market affect voluntary information sharing between lenders. We study an experimental credit market in which information sharing can help lenders to distinguish goodborrowers from bad ones, because borrowers may exogenously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858065
In this paper we show that measures of economic uncertainty (conditional volatilityof consumption) predict and are predicted by valuation ratios at long horizons. Furtherwe document that asset valuations drop as economic uncertainty rises — that is,financial markets dislike economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858313
There is an extensive literature claiming that it is often difficultto make use of arbitrage opportunities in financial markets. Thispaper provides a new reason why existing arbitrage opportunitiesmight not be seized. We consider a world with short-lived securities,no short-selling constraints...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858363
There is widespread evidence of excess return predictability in financial markets. In this paper we examine whether this predictability is related to expectational errors. To consider this issue, we use data on survey expectations of market participants in the stock market, the foreign exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858391
We establish an empirical link between the ex-ante uncertainty about macroeconomic fundamentals and the ex-post resolution of this uncertainty in financial markets. We measure macroeconomic uncertainty using prices of economic derivatives and relate this measure to changes in implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858394