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Economic research offers two traditional ways of analyzing decision making under risk. One option is to compare the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628002
After several decades of academic research on the contingent valuation (CV) method a consistent behavioral explanation of 'hypothetical bias' is still lacking. Based on evidence from economics, economic psychology and the political sciences, I propose an explanation that is based on two simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566324
In the television show Affari Tuoi a contestant is endowed with a sealed box containing a monetary prize between one cent and half a million euros. In the course of the show the contestant is offered to exchange her box for another sealed box with the same distribution of possible monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005585659
used to test the predictions of ten decision theories: risk neutrality, expected utility theory, fanning-out hypothesis … risk neutrality and loss aversion are clearly violated, respectively, by 55% and 46% of all contestants. There appears to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627782
for selling the content of their boxes. If contestants are less risk averse when facing unlikely gains, the price offer is … virtually identical across two groups. Thus, contestants appear to have identical risk attitudes over (large) gains of low and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627793
directly to risk preferences. Consequently, decreasing discount rates may be generated by people's proneness to probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677113
materialize over time. Because risk and delay often arise simultaneously, theories of decision making should be capable of … explaining how behavior under risk and over time interacts. There is, in fact, a growing body of evidence indicating important … interactions between behaviorally revealed risk tolerance and patience. Risk taking behavior is delay dependent, and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010604138
The results of a new experimental study reveal highly systematic violations of expected utility theory. The pattern of these violations is exactly the opposite of the classical common ratio effect discovered by Allais (1953). Two recent decision theories— stochastic expected utility theory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008625739
An important source of conflict surrounding nuclear energy is that with a very small probability, a large-scale nuclear accident may occur. One way to internalize the financial risks associated with such an accident is through mandatory liability insurance. This paper presents estimates of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005756630
This paper presents an axiomatic model of probabilistic choice under risk. In this model, when it comes to choosing one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627944