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The integration of the central and eastern European countries into the international capital markets has been and will be determined by the process of European Union (EU) integration. Our analysis shows that southern and eastern European countries already appear to be surprisingly similar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276349
account balance. We develop a model with consumption externalities and heterogeneous agents which explains how an increase in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886828
The paper investigates by means of cointegration analysis whether the recently observed low levels of private saving and the current account balance in the United States are worrisome in the sense that they cannot be sufficiently explained by determinants which performed well in the past. Stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818865
This paper analyzes the causes of rising savings rates for the corporate, government, and household sectors, which have jointly contributed to the upsurge in aggregate savings in China in the past two decades. Government policies to rebalance the Chinese economy are also explored.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791521
Over the last decade, the internal and external macroeconomic imbalances in China have risen to unprecedented levels. In 2008, China's national savings rate soared to over 53 percent of its GDP, whereas its current account surplus exceeded 9 percent of GDP. The current paper presents a unified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010791526
Globalisation is associated with long periods of sustained economic growth and credit expansion, whereas major recessions tend to lead to falling trade and protectionism. The sensitivity of trade to global economic conditions is not simply driven by policy: rather, in a model of costly search,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561130
Based on static analysis, a number of studies argue that forming a RTA is more likely to raise welfare if member countries are "natural trading partners," while other studies claim the opposite. This paper considers the argument from a dynamic viewpoint by examining the impact of trade with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703120
This paper presents new estimates of the economic benefits from economic and political integration. Using the synthetic counterfactuals method, we estimate how GDP per capita and labour productivity would have behaved for the countries that joined the European Union (EU) in the 1973, 1980s, 1995...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010764596
Low international competitiveness of a set of euro area countries, which have become evident by large current account deficits and rising risk premiums on government bonds, is one of the most challenging economic policy issues for Europe. We analyse the role of private restructuring and public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008632737
The paper takes into account both the concerns of the EU, arguing that convergence is incomplete, and the demands from … accession countries, claiming that monetary integration is optimal. Indicators are developed which measure convergence and … benefits from monetary integration. The more serious problem is a lack of convergence which could imply serious risks during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076110