Basu, Susanto; Barsky, Robert B.; Lee, Keyoung - National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) - 2014
prices, consumption, consumer confidence and inflation, robustly predict three outcomes. First, following a news shock, TFP … rises for several years. Second, inflation falls immediately and substantially, and stays low, often for 10 quarters or more … in lockstep with productivity. For the most part, the quantity and inflation responses are quite consistent with the …