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provide the most precise forecasts for a set of eleven core macroeconomic variables, including GDP growth and CPI inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010887025
Using cross-country data, this paper estimates the impact of the 2007 financial shock on countries' macroeconomic developments conditional on national financial regulations before the crisis. For this purpose, the financial reform index developed by Abiad et al. (A New Database of Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956118
In this paper, I estimate a series of long run reallocative shocks to sectoral employment using a stochastic volatility model of sectoral employment growth for the United States from 1960 through 2011. Reallocative shocks (which primarily measure construction and technology busts) have little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216281