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A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956093
The economies of Central and Eastern Europe are undergoing a period of rapid structural change. The general pattern confirms to the J-curve anticipated by several observers at the start of transition. This paper conceptualises the J-curve as the result of a combination of two factors. First,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276341
We implement capital in an endogenous separations New Keynesian matching model. In contrast to the vintage capital theory, we suggest a more general approach, such that workers have unrestricted access to a proportional share of the capital stock. We find that the introduction of capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008635829
measures causes within a VAR model, including other financial market variables, a fall of this excess bond premium and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011093912
to model the interaction between the banking sector and the macroeconomy. Our identified-VAR analysis indicates that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818895
The construction bust which accompanied the Great Recession, and the accompanying need to shift workers across sectors, have provoked a discussion about mismatch and the Beveridge Curve, alongside a discussion about firm-level dispersion. These discussions echo an ongoing discussion about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010887017
. The cointegrated VAR (CVAR) offers a way of doing so. In this paper we outline a method for translating the assumptions … underlying a DSGE model into a set of testable assumptions on a cointegrated VAR model and illustrate the ideas with the RBC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083420
This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data for Germany from 1968 to 1998, we specify GARCH models to capture the variability of stock market prices, of the real exchange rate, and of a long-term and of a short-term rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276110
The process of European integration has gained considerable momentum during the past couple of years. This paper provides an assessment of the degree of integration of both the accession states of central and eastern Europe and of the pre-ins for monetary union with respect to Germany. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700641
This paper outlines a simple regression-based method to decompose the variance of an aggregate time series into the variance of its components, which is then applied to measure the relative contributions of productivity, hours per worker, and employment to cyclical output growth across a panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009132526