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contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292398
-price model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive … long-run inflation near zero. Despite positive long-run inflation, the Taylor principle ensures determinacy in the model … with firm-level productivity growth, and optimal inflation stabilization policies are standard. In a two-sector extension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886886
I apply the Johansen and Swensen (1999, 2004) method of testing exact rational expectations within the cointegrated VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive) model, to testing the New Keynesian (NK) model. This method permits the testing of rational expectation systems, while allowing for non-stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083406
Differential tax analysis is used to show how the socially optimal fiscal-tax to liquidity-tax ratio changes with the relative size of the tax-evading hidden economy. The smaller the relative size of the hidden economy, the larger the optimal fiscal-tax to liquidity-tax ratio. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083413
with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the … interest rate bound, interest rates and monetary aggregates provided a misleading indicator as to the true stance of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017500
Currently, many monetary and fiscal policy measures are aimed at preventing the financial market meltdown that started in the US subprime sector and has spread worldwide as a great recession. Although some slow recovery appears to be on the horizon, it is worthwhile exploring the fragility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474657
good inflation. In addition, the Ramsey optimal monetary policy can be approximated reasonably well with a Taylor …-type interest rate rule with weights on both inflation rates and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530638
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the … therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation expectations data constructed on the basis of both qualitative and … provides some insights into the nature of the interaction between monetary policy and inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546
implications for monetary policy as the central bank has to decide which inflation rate to target. Our results demonstrate that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700608
We show that low trend inflation strongly affects the dynamics of a standard Neo-Keynesian model where monetary policy … is described by a standard Taylor rule. Moreover, trend inflation enlarges the indeterminacy region in the parameter … cannot disregard average inflation in both theoretical and empirical analysis. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566186