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prices), which is typically ignored in existing empirical studies. We use time series and up-to-date panel data techniques to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083403
trade creation effect of monetary integration (so-called Rose effect) which is heavily debated in the literature. Recent … are already highly integrated in terms of trade and factor mobility. The potential discrimination effect against trade … to Europe. At the same time, so-called overlap or similarity indices for trade patterns show an increasing similarity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755194
been only a few analyses looking at this question empirically. The present study focuses on a panel of 27 transition and 20 … Western European countries between 1990 and 2006 and uses the latest developments in panel unit root and cointegration testing … to disentangle the effects of international spillovers via trade and FDI. My findings show that imports remain the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755110
In this paper, we develop a financial stress index for France that can be used as a real-time composite indicator for the state of financial stability in France. We take 17 financial variables from different market segments and extract a common stress component using a dynamic approximate factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886871
implications of this model using dynamic panel models for changes in foreign bank assets. We find evidence that nominal interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886927
This paper studies the effect of exchange rate pass-through on inflation in Tunisia over the period 2001-2009. The authors' objective is to track inflation regimes for the Tunisian economy and to forecast its determinants. Using a Markov-switching approach, the authors identified two main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956150
The financial crisis 2008-2009 and the European sovereign debt crisis have shown that stress on financial markets is important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably reflected in many financial market variables, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365865
Changes in exchange rates have become a prominent issue in Germany and Japan - due to the enormous appreciation of the Deutschmark and the Yen. Conventional wisdom suggests that economic activity will be negatively affected if a currency is going through a phase of appreciation. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276229
This paper addresses the question of whether and how easy monetary policy may lead to excesses in financial and real asset markets and ultimately result in financial dislocation. It presents evidence suggesting that periods when short-term interest rates have been persistently and significantly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059044
The currency crises of the 1990s all exhibit a divergence of the nominal and the real exchange rate together with an increase in the negative current account. The nominal rate does not reflect inflation differences fully and the ensuing real appreciation leads to a negative current account. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700507