: to weight household units by size or by needs. Using data from the Luxembourg Income Study, the authors show the … sensitivity of country inequality rankings to conversion schemes and explain the finding by means of inequality decomposition. A …

part using a modified Blinder-Oaxaca procedure. This decomposition suggests that the observed convergence is just weakly …

the implications of these scenarios in projecting the future path of fiscal aggregates. We argue that our forecasting …

forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and …

The main goal of the article is to investigate forecasting quality of two approaches to modelling main macroeconomic … accuracy not inferior to that of structural models. Additional advantage of their approach is that the forecasting procedure … can be mostly automated and the influence of subjective decisions made in the forecasting process can be significantly …

important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably … approximate factor model. Subsequently, applying these indicators, I analyse the effects of financial stress on economic activity …-of-sample forecasting accuracy for real GDP growth in Germany compared to a model without the indicator and other forecast benchmarks …

This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data …

. Using an out-of-sample forecasting exercise and a stability analysis, it is shown that core money growth carries important … information not contained in the inflation history, that its inclusion in a forecasting model can increase the forecasting … forecasting model at all horizons is the one proposed by Gerlach (2004) that includes the inflation gap, the difference between …