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of the CVAR are shown to be interpretable in terms of expectations formation, market clearing, nominal rigidities, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083339
with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the … expectations; in fact, conditions were deflationary all throughout the 1930s in spite of high money growth and low interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017500
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast … forecasts. It turns out that the availability of historical data has a dominant impact on expectations and wipes out the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
The production of bioenergy is considered to be a promising energy source for a sustainable energy mix and it is politically promoted in many countries. With the exception of Brazilian ethanol, bioenergy not competitive to fossil energy sources, and therefore needs to be subsidised. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293458
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This … expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical characterization allows an explicit comparison of news about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
It is believed that the primary economic solution to climate change is an introduction of a carbon pricing system anchored to the social cost of carbon, either as a form of tax or tradable permits. Potentially significant externalities accompanying the introduction of emission-reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584373
technology penetration in the future – in extreme cases, expectations prevail over policy. This feature highlights the danger of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854239
Several models of choice under uncertainty imply systematic violations of transitivity of preference. Our experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076116
frameworks and techniques for analyzing climate policy in the context of uncertainty. This paper will give an overview of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955710
. A key assumption is that mergers create uncertainty on productivity and informational asymmetry between firms. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956064