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forecasts. It turns out that the availability of historical data has a dominant impact on expectations and wipes out the …This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
of the CVAR are shown to be interpretable in terms of expectations formation, market clearing, nominal rigidities, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083339
with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the … expectations; in fact, conditions were deflationary all throughout the 1930s in spite of high money growth and low interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017500
The production of bioenergy is considered to be a promising energy source for a sustainable energy mix and it is politically promoted in many countries. With the exception of Brazilian ethanol, bioenergy not competitive to fossil energy sources, and therefore needs to be subsidised. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293458
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This … expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical characterization allows an explicit comparison of news about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
It is believed that the primary economic solution to climate change is an introduction of a carbon pricing system anchored to the social cost of carbon, either as a form of tax or tradable permits. Potentially significant externalities accompanying the introduction of emission-reducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584373
technology penetration in the future – in extreme cases, expectations prevail over policy. This feature highlights the danger of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854239
We construct an agent-based New Keynesian DSGE model with different social network structures to investigate the significance of network topologies to macroeconomic stability. According to our simulation results, we find that the more liquid the information flow, the higher the stability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956024
propose genetic algorithms as a model for individual expectations to explain aggregate market phenomena. The model explains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755154
High-frequency financial data are characterized by a set of ubiquitous statistical properties that prevail with surprising uniformity. While these 'stylized facts' have been well-known for decades, attempts at their behavioral explanation have remained scarce. However, recently a new branch of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755238