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Bayesian averaging vs. dynamic factor models for forecasting economic aggregates with tendency survey data

Bialowolski, Piotr; Kuszewski, Tomasz; Witkowski, Bartosz - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2015

The main goal of the article is to investigate forecasting quality of two approaches to modelling main macroeconomic … accuracy not inferior to that of structural models. Additional advantage of their approach is that the forecasting procedure … can be mostly automated and the influence of subjective decisions made in the forecasting process can be significantly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011269107

Marktordnung und Barrieren im grenzüberschreitenden Handel mit Kommunikationsdienstleistungen: Dienstleistungen der Informationstechnologie

Krancke, Jan - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2000

resulting trade barriers. The functioning of the Internet (network structure, allocation of names and numbers, technical …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818893

Good governance problems and recent financial crises in some EU countries

Gamberger, Dragan; Smuc, Tomislav - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2013

This study examines 147 banking crises in the period of 1976-2011 documented by the International Monetary Fund. The countries affected by crises are analysed in respect of publicly available World Bank indicators in the periods of three years before the crises. Machine learning methodology for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956094

Consequences of rising income inequality: a comment

Siebert, Horst - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 1998

Rising income inequality is an anglo Saxon problem. For most of the other OECD countries, earnings dispersion is rather persistent. Vertical mobility is to be taken into account. The paper also looks at the relationship of income inequality, growth and employment. It elaborates the point that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276488

Der deutsche Arbeitsmarkt: ein paar Schaubilder und Tabellen

Siebert, Horst - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276500

How Competitive is Europe's Labor?

Siebert, Horst - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 1999

Europe's labor is not competitive taking unemployment as the relevant indicator. The paper looks at other indicators such as job creation, productivity and unit labor costs and skills. It analyzes the reasons for the lack of competitiveness including a low degree of wage differentiation, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818810

Informed and Uninformed Opinions on New Measures to Address Climate Change

Kniebes, Carola; Merk, Christine; Pönitzsch, Gert; … - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2014

Climate engineering (CE) and carbon capture and storage sub-seabed (CCS-S) are currently controversially debated options to address climate change. Our paper provides empirical evidence on the public perception of two different CE measures, namely, stratospheric sulphate injection (SSI) and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886920

Multi-destination trips: A survey on incoming zourism in Sicily

Parroco, Anna Maria; Vaccina, Franco; De Cantis, Stefano; … - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2012

Many pleasure trips are often characterized by the visit of more than a single destination. Despite the topic is well documented in literature, the empirical studies are limited to a few pioneering studies. This lack may be attributable to the failure of tourism organizations to collect data on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956053

Identification of a Core-Periphery Structure Among Participants of a Business Climate Survey

Lux, Thomas; Stolzenburg, Ulrich - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2010

Processes of social opinion formation might be dominated by a set of highly influential agents acting as ‘opinion leaders’. Here we explore whether such a perspective could shed light on the dynamics of a well known economic sentiment index. To this end, we hypothesize that the respondents...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784523

Guidelines for the Use of Household Interview Duration Analysis in CAPI Survey Management

Böhme, Marcus; Stoehr, Tobias - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2012

This paper provides evidence based guidance for practical survey work, namely choosing interviewers and their workload. Analyzing a survey of 3568 households obtained through computer assisted personal interviews (CAPI) we find that interviewers learn considerably while the survey progresses....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886855