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Sentiment indices based on investor sentiment surveys attempt to measure the stock market sentiment. The literature on these indices focusses mainly on whether investor sentiment influences the financial markets or not. But the term 'sentiment' has never been defined in the literature. Therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956116
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast inflation and GDP growth. By varying the information provided in different treatments, we can assess the importance of historical time-series information versus information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
The author suggests the 2008 financial crisis was the culmination of an accelerating process of financial market evolution that is inherently unstable. From his viewpoint markets are not well organized to manage the power financial assets have to generate emotion and their wider effect on human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083355
In this paper, we use survey data to analyze the rationality of professional macroeconomic forecasts. We analyze both … used with caution, since even if all individual forecasts are rational the hypothesis of rationality is often rejected by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818809
This paper is concerned with the axiomatic foundation of the revealed preference theory. Many well-known results in literature rest upon the ability to choose over budget sets that contains only 2 or 3 elements, the situations which are not observable in real life. In order to give a more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956032
This paper examines the research area identified by Frey and Gallus (Aggregate Effects of Behavioral Anomalies: A New Research Area, 2014) and the relationship between it and the choices that economists make. It supports the Frey and Gallus view that, as a consequence of individuals employing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956097
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the real and monetary sides of the economy; yet, direct empirical research on the matter has been scarce at best. This paper therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546