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Empirical data show that firms tend to improve their ranking in the productivity distribution over time. A sticky-price model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive and between 1.5% and 2% per year. In contrast, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886886
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This paper considers both of them together in a simple New Keynesian monetary business cycle model. A full set of rational expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
Traditionally, observed fluctuations in aggregate economic time series have been mainly modelled as being the result of exogenous disturbances. A better understanding of macroeconomic phenomena, however, surely requires looking directly at the relations between variables that may trigger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956107
The classical cobweb theorem is extended to include production lags and price forecasts. Price forecasting based on a longer period has a stabilizing effect on prices. Longer production lags do not necessarily lead to unstable prices; very long lags lead to cycles of constant amplitude. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983178
The paper examines the effect of trend productivity growth on the determinacy and learnability of equilibria under alternative monetary policy rules. It shows that under a policy rule that responds to current period inflation and the output gap a higher trend growth rate relaxes the conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365996
growth model can be a potential source of local indeterminacy. He also shows that on a high-growth path, the government, by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956031
in response solely to future in°ation induce real indeterminacy of equilibrium. Applying the Samuelson … by itself has a quantitatively negligible effect and almost all strict inflation-targeting rules lead to indeterminacy … stickiness, indeterminacy is much less likely to occur as policy also responds to output. With estimated labor supply elasticity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755151
We examine global economic dynamics under learning in a New Keynesian model in which the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. Under normal monetary and fiscal policy, the intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Large pessimistic shocks to expectations can lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700647
The existence of an exact Walrasian equilibrium in non convex economies is still a largely unexplored issue. In this paper an existence result for exact equilibrium in non convex economies is provided by following the almost-near approach introduced by Postlewaite and Schmeidler for convex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009372165
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) occurs in temporal clusters. In contrast to the existing literature, which explains these clusters as being a result of oligopolistic reaction, this paper presents a two-by-two-by-two general equilibrium model of companies which engage in monopolistic competition....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700571