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This paper compares the depth of the Recent Crisis and the Great Depression. We use a new data set to compare the drop in activity in the industrialized countries for seven activity indicators. This is done under the assumption that the Recent Crisis leveled off in mid-2009 for production and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615592
The recent financial crises pointed out the central role of public and private debt in modern economies. However, even … if debt is a recurring topic in discussions about the current economic situation, economic modelling does not take into … account debt as one of the crucial determinants of economic dynamics. Our contribution, in this paper, is to investigate the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246869
Traditional risk-adjusted performance measures, such as the Sharpe ratio, the Treynor index or Jensen's alpha, based on the mean-variance framework, are widely used to rank mutual funds. However, performance measures that consider risk by taking into account only losses, such as Value-at-Risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561128
In this paper, we develop a financial stress index for France that can be used as a real-time composite indicator for the state of financial stability in France. We take 17 financial variables from different market segments and extract a common stress component using a dynamic approximate factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886871
A fundamental cause of the global financial crisis was excessive creation of short-term money-like liabilities (quasi-money), notably in shadow banking holdings of sub-prime MBS and other US dollar structured credit instruments and in cross-border flow of capital to the uncompetitive Euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956136
The determinants of default risk of banks in emerging economies have so far received inadequate attention in the literature. This paper seeks to study the determinants of bank asset quality and profitability using panel data techniques and robust data sets for the period between 1997 and 2009....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263002
regulations. In order to take account of these effects the authors control explicitly for regime shifts in a system of debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025225
This study examines 147 banking crises in the period of 1976-2011 documented by the International Monetary Fund. The countries affected by crises are analysed in respect of publicly available World Bank indicators in the periods of three years before the crises. Machine learning methodology for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956094
I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment that are not associated with banking crises) and banking crises. Using a panel of 16 advanced economies, I find evidence for significant non-linear trend reversion or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272151
We find that real interest rates paid on government debt depend significantly upon current and expected future levels … of debt, in Europe as in the US. But this result only emerges when we condition on foreign interest rates, illustrating … financial international integration. The previously strong effect of debt on US interest rates has been diluted by the addition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083400