Showing 1 - 10 of 36
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561117
The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by means of best linear forecasts derived via the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351451
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime-switching and multifractality along with two competing distributional assumptions of the error component, i.e. Normal vs Student-t. Our precise contribution is twofold. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005011993
Long memory (long-term dependence) of volatility counts as one of the ubiquitous stylized facts of financial data. Inspired by the long memory property, multifractal processes have recently been introduced as a new tool for modeling financial time series. In this paper, we propose a parsimonious...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583486
Unlike in Asia, the manufacturing sector has not (yet) become a driver of structural change in Africa. One common explanation is that the natural resource-focus of many African economies leads to Dutch disease effects. To test this argument for the case of newly found oil in Ghana we develop a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886853
We describe the determinants of energy intensity, carbon intensity, and CO2 emissions in the German manufacturing sector between 1995 and 2007, applying the LMDI index decomposition technique not to aggregate but to micro data. We trace back changes in total CO2 emissions from manufacturing to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010887027
Based on a Cox Proportional Hazard analysis of German unemployment spells, structural change of the production process is identified as a major explanation for long-term unemployment. Other important covariates capture labor market institutions, macroeconomic stress factors, and individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818886
reactiveness of inflation to the unemployment rate. In regard to a monetary union, the national unemployment multiplier in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886968
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on ?frictional growth,? describing the … expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our empirical analysis suggests that this Phillips curve may be … reasonably flat. We show that the persistence of inflation and unemployment, in response to monetary policy shocks, is related to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010955553
This paper examines the presence of asymmetric behavior in exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation in 12 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956023