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Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561117
Dynamic econometric models are carefully built to analyse counterfactually the globalisation effect on inflation for … impact as far as inflation persistence is concerned while the impact on inflation variability can be positive as well as … negative. Overall, globalisation is found to have contributed positively to lowering rather than stabilising inflation during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956145
I apply the Johansen and Swensen (1999, 2004) method of testing exact rational expectations within the cointegrated VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive) model, to testing the New Keynesian (NK) model. This method permits the testing of rational expectation systems, while allowing for non-stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083406
. Specifically we find that the expected rate of future inflation and real marginal costs serve as replacements for equilibrium … OECD inflation, the NPC is encompassed by an existing theory. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059042
inflation and inflation uncertainty. Thus, we can test for state-dependence of the Calvo parameter in a straightforward way. To … that a number of shortcomings of empirical NKPC model representations in explaining inflation data may be addressed by … the relation between inflation and marginal costs are considerably reduced in the framework of our more general NKPC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886935
to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956041
The New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) is now the dominant model of inflation dynamics. In recent years, a large body …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083421
This paper seeks to understand dynamics of inflation and marginal cost (labor share) in models that account for the … productivity growth particularly for the US. We conclude that a better understanding of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049591
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the … therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation expectations data constructed on the basis of both qualitative and … provides some insights into the nature of the interaction between monetary policy and inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546
, while inflation has remained relatively subdued around a plateau of 2%- 4%. Thus, the slope of the PC has become much … in inflation of 2.2 percentage points per year, the increase of the relative unemployment rate of immigrants vis …-à-vis natives accounts for an ofsetting 0.9 percentage points drop in the inflation rate per year. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700648