Showing 1 - 10 of 59
Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755211
This paper documents the dynamic properties of the current account, trade balance and international capital flows. For this purpose, two approaches are taken: probit and a nonparametric estimation. The probabilistic approach shows that, in general, deficits and net inflows tend to be more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083423
This paper provides statistical evidence suggesting that in industrial countries, recessions that are associated with either banking crises or housing crises dampen output far more than ordinary recessions. Using a parametric panel framework that allows for a bounceback of the level of output in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540816
In this paper we empirically investigate the relationship between capital flows and exchange rates in India based on a … our real financial market exchange rate and the net outstanding equity investment in India. In the short run capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886833
A recent literature has pointed at potential negative effects of exchange rate volatility on innovation. In this paper … years 1987 - 2003. We find that the direct negative effect of volatility is pronounced in manufacturing sector but is … dominated by the indirect effect via the export channel. Services do not face any effects of volatility on R&D intensities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079107
period of 1994q32005q2. The results suggest that the real exchange rate volatility and misalignment have depressing effects … volatility proving that the policy-induced changes in exchange rate has a stabilizing effect on trade flows. The implied … elasticity for the most significant real exchange rate volatility coefficient is 0.20. Using a two-step Engle-Granger technique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083383
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility …) to provide numerical evidence that news shocks increase the volatility of key macroeconomic variables in the euro area …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017501
Developing countries are constrained in financing current account deficits as real capital mobility is still far from perfect. At the same time, capital flows to these countries proved to be extremely volatile. The paper argues that the long-term problem of "too little" should not be confused...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818922
-wealth ratio, and welfare should be higher in an open economy due to a higher productivity and/or less volatility through risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983184
We examine both the degree and the structural stability of inflation persistence at different quantiles of the … conditional inflation distribution. Previous research focused exclusively on persistence at the conditional mean of the inflation … rate. As economic theory provides reasons for inflation persistence to differ across conditional quantiles, this is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905561