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Ex-ante regulations and ex-post liabilities for using a new technology will induce additional costs for adopters. The standard model is advanced by including irreversibility and uncertainty and taking into account transaction costs of negotiating possible cost reductions. The case analysed is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561127
In the past decades, risk management in the financial community has been dominated by data-intensive statistical … methods which rely on short historical time series to estimate future risk. Many observers consider this approach as a … least in principle. The authors suggest that the concept of Bayesian risk management may efficiently mobilize the knowledge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956151
of agent’s risk aversion. Also, uncertainty exhibits different effects on mitigation policy and capital investment … according to the availability of ecosystem services. Importantly, both the risk aversion and the availability of ecosystem …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008480915
model captures the feature that the effects of uncertainty are different with different levels of agent's risk aversion. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005034303
individuals’ attitudes toward risk. It challenges the conventional view that the random lottery incentive mechanism introduces no … biases in inducing risk preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886962
Applying a probabilistic causal approach, we define a class of time series causal models (TSCM) based on stationary Bayesian networks. A TSCM can be seen as a structural VAR identified by the causal relations among the variables. We classify TSCMs into observationally equivalent classes by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083371
An important question for central banks is how they should report the uncertainty of their forecasts. This paper discusses a way in which a central bank could report the uncertainty of its forecasts in a world in which it used a single macroeconometric model to make its forecasts and guide its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956134
Large-scale agricultural land acquisitions might entail substantial welfare implications for the affected rural population. Whether the impacts are indeed as devastating as the popular notion of "land grabs" would suggest depends on a number of factors, including the size of compensation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886846
Diversification into non-agricultural activities in rural areas can be broadly classified as either survival-led or opportunity-led. The existence of these two types of non-agricultural activities implies a U-shaped relationship between the share of income derived from non-agricultural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956010
Shadow prices guide farmers' resource allocations, but for subsistence farmers growing traditional crops, shadow prices may bear little relationship with market prices. We econometrically estimate shadow prices of maize using data from a nationally representative survey of rural households in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700583