Showing 1 - 10 of 67
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast … forecasts. It turns out that the availability of historical data has a dominant impact on expectations and wipes out the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
propose genetic algorithms as a model for individual expectations to explain aggregate market phenomena. The model explains …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755154
Arguments about the appropriate discount rate often start by assuming a Utilitarian social welfare function with isoelastic utility, in which the consumption discount rate is a function of the (constant) elasticity of marginal utility along with the (much discussed) utility discount rate. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083419
In an intensively discussed paper, Andreoni and Sprenger (2012) , henceforth A&S, present an experiment where subjects can allocate money between two different points of time under the condition of risk. A&S claim that their results refute discounted expected utility (DEU) as well as prospect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886922
Aphorisms that "Rising tides raise all boats" or that material advances of the rich eventually "Trickle Down" to the poor are really maxims regarding the nature of stochastic processes that underlay the income/wellbeing paths of groups of individuals. This paper looks at the implications for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956065
In this paper we incorporate the two most prominent approaches of inequality aversion, i.e. Fehr and Schmidt (1999) and Bolton and Ockenfels (2000) into an otherwise standard New Keynesian macro model and compare them with respect to their influence on the long-run effectiveness of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886891
of the CVAR are shown to be interpretable in terms of expectations formation, market clearing, nominal rigidities, etc …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083339
with unemployment and bargaining frictions. Shocks to long-run inflation expectations appear to account for much of the … expectations; in fact, conditions were deflationary all throughout the 1930s in spite of high money growth and low interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017500
The production of bioenergy is considered to be a promising energy source for a sustainable energy mix and it is politically promoted in many countries. With the exception of Brazilian ethanol, bioenergy not competitive to fossil energy sources, and therefore needs to be subsidised. Several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293458
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This … expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical characterization allows an explicit comparison of news about future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643