Showing 1 - 10 of 173
The paper analyses sectoral patterns of intra-Asian trade for selected Asian countries as well as for sub … extra-Asian trade, almost all sample countries concentrate their intra-Asian exports more on non-manufactures. Within … manufactures, resource-intensive goods still play a larger role in intra-Asian trade than in trade outside Asia. This reflects both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276242
trade creation effect of monetary integration (so-called Rose effect) which is heavily debated in the literature. Recent … are already highly integrated in terms of trade and factor mobility. The potential discrimination effect against trade … to Europe. At the same time, so-called overlap or similarity indices for trade patterns show an increasing similarity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755194
We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886840
This paper analyzes the effects of short-time work (i.e., government subsidized working time reductions) on unemployment and output fluctuations. The central question is whether the rule based component (i.e., the existence of the institution short-time work) and the discretionary component...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886965
A popular interpretation of the Rational Expectations/Efficient Markets hypothesis states that, if the hypothesis holds, then market valuations must follow a random walk. This postulate has frequently been criticized on the basis of empirical evidence. Yet the assertion itself incurs what we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956093
This paper has two sources: One is my own research in three broad areas: business cycles, economic measurement and social choice. In all of these fields I attempted to apply the basic precepts of the scientific method as it is understood in the natural sciences. I found that my effort at using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083341
We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and newsdriven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083367
This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility in any purely forward-looking model, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, the results are ambiguous when including a backward-looking component. In addition to these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005017501
With the widespread application of inventory control Systems in industry and trade and a fast growing Services sector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009277724
The paper presents some stylized facts of Euroland's business cycle using aggregated data. The main results are: The determination of turning points in Euroland's business cycle is not very sensitive to the detrending method used, although the level of the recent output gap depends on it....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009277738