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contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009292398
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the … therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation expectations data constructed on the basis of both qualitative and … provides some insights into the nature of the interaction between monetary policy and inflation expectations. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546
This paper estimates a common component in many price series that has an equiproportional effect on all prices. Changes in this component can be interpreted as changes in the value of the numeraire since, by definition, they leave all relative prices unchanged. The first aim of the paper is to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755197
I apply the Johansen and Swensen (1999, 2004) method of testing exact rational expectations within the cointegrated VAR (Vector Auto-Regressive) model, to testing the New Keynesian (NK) model. This method permits the testing of rational expectation systems, while allowing for non-stationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083406
good inflation. In addition, the Ramsey optimal monetary policy can be approximated reasonably well with a Taylor …-type interest rate rule with weights on both inflation rates and output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008530638
This paper analyzes the international transmission effects of euro area monetary policy shocks in to other western European countries, namely the United Kingdom, Sweden, Switzerland, Denmark, and Norway. For this purpose, we use a structural VAR model of the euro area and augment it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216278
This paper evaluates inflation forecasts made by Norges Bank which is recognized as a successful forecast targeting … central bank. It is reasonable to expect that Norges Bank produces inflation forecasts that are on average better than other … margin. An explanation in terms of too high speed of adjustment to the inflation target is supported by the evidence. Norges …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647561
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561117
In this paper we introduce and test the hypothesis that the relation between inflation and unemployment has been in … 1975 and 1980 after the first (or the second) oil price shock in autumn 1973. During the disin°ation period, inflation and … their favour and the Central Bank fighting against inflation. Since the wage and price setters did not fully believe in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755220
policy literature. The extent to which these firms adjust their prices to lagged inflation has been taken as fixed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083332