Showing 1 - 10 of 107
This paper studies the effects of ECB communications about unconventional monetary policy operations on the perceived sovereign risk of Italy over the last five years. More than fifty events concerning non-standard operations are identified and classified with respect to the specific ECB...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886951
In a model with forward-looking expectations, the paper examines communication of central bank forecasts when the inflation target is subject to unobserved changes. It characterizes the effect of disclosure of forecasts on inflation and output stabilization and the choice of an active versus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818864
In this paper, we elaborate on an idea initially developed by Weitzman (1998) that justifies taking the lowest possible discount rate for far-distant future cash flows. His argument relies on the arbitrary assumption that when the future rate of return of capital (RRC) is uncertain, one should...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083338
Despite the single currency, yields on government bonds in the Euro Area deviate from German bond yields. These bond spreads are usually attributed to differing default and liquidity risks. Recent research points out that time-varying global factors, approximated by risk measures or short term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005026904
In this paper the author proves that the Expected Net Future Value (ENFV) criterion can lead a risk neutral social planner to reject projects that increase expected utility. By contrast, the Expected Net Present Value (ENPV) rule correctly identifies the economic value of the project. While the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561126
In modern macroeconomic models it is difficult to obtain explosive price bubbles on assets with positive net supply. This paper shows that it is possible to obtain explosive bubbles in certain situations when assets such as land are used as collateral and lenders are willing to lend freely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008511732
debated. Using a cointegrated VAR model of US treasury yields, this paper extends a common approach to test the theory. If, as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083365
We find that real interest rates paid on government debt depend significantly upon current and expected future levels of debt, in Europe as in the US. But this result only emerges when we condition on foreign interest rates, illustrating financial international integration. The previously strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083400
The paper investigates which factors determine the expected real long-term interest rates of the G7-countries as a whole within a single equation error correction model. Inflationary expectations are generated using the low frequency component of inflation provided by the Hodrick-Prescott...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276751
This paper asks why modern finance theory and the efficient market hypothesis have failed to explain long-term carry … Profits, 2010) and the Theory of the Monetary Circuit to give a mathematical representation of Minsky's Financial Instability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010983167