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1980s. Based on the timing of observed fluctuations in interest rates, inflation, and productivity, it appears that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700617
In this paper we investigate the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic activity using a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogenous agents and a stylized banking sector. We show that frictions in credit supply amplify the effects of uncertainty shocks on economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886850
Separately, news and sunspot shocks have been shown empirically to be determinants of changes in expectations. This paper considers both of them together in a simple New Keynesian monetary business cycle model. A full set of rational expectations solutions is derived analytically. The analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522643
suggested in the previous literature. The welfare gains are more clearly seen in the reduced volatility of inflation than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005097478
Between 1995 and 2005, the German economy has experienced a phase of weak economic growth. We analyze whether this weak growth performance can be attributed to the stance of monetary conditions during that period. We show that the real effective exchange rate did have almost no dampening effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566192
inflation and the stabilization of the welfare relevant output gap after a productivity shock hits the economy. When the … standard model is enhanced by real wage rigidities or labor turnover costs, an endogenous short-run inflation-output tradeoff … rigidities. Second, labor turnover costs are the dominant source for the inflation-output tradeoff when both rigidities are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005566197
We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886840
inflation arising from higher unemployment in a standard Phillips curve framework is significantly cushioned. This might help to … understand the robustness of inflation especially in the most recent past. In general, the cyclical dynamics of inflation appear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886866
-price model with firm-level productivity growth fits this data and predicts that the optimal long-run inflation rate is positive … long-run inflation near zero. Despite positive long-run inflation, the Taylor principle ensures determinacy in the model … with firm-level productivity growth, and optimal inflation stabilization policies are standard. In a two-sector extension …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886886
the central bank is to stabilize inflation. On the other hand, if the shift arises from an increase in the elasticity of … employment matches with respect to vacancies, then the policy maker faces a trade off between stabilizing inflation and … Taylor rule that targets inflation and output growth, the optimal monetary policy is more aggressive in pursuit of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886998