Showing 1 - 10 of 106
Maximum likelihood estimation of discretely observed diffusion processes is mostly hampered by the lack of a closed … for the estimation of a joint system of short-run and medium run investor sentiment and asset price dynamics using German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905567
financial economics. Closed-form solutions provide for the possibility of exact maximum likelihood estimation for discretely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010695985
High-frequency financial data are characterized by a set of ubiquitous statistical properties that prevail with surprising uniformity. While these 'stylized facts' have been well-known for decades, attempts at their behavioral explanation have remained scarce. However, recently a new branch of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755238
. Technically, we extend the maximum likelihood framework for parameter estimation in agent-based models introduced by Lux (2009a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992845
individuals’ attitudes toward risk. It challenges the conventional view that the random lottery incentive mechanism introduces no … biases in inducing risk preferences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886962
In the aftermath of the Great Recession and during the debt crisis in the euro area yields on German federal bonds have been exceptionally low. This analysis tries to calculate the profits that the federal government makes due to the low yields. The interest payments that are due to emissions of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886837
We construct an agent-based New Keynesian DSGE model with different social network structures to investigate the significance of network topologies to macroeconomic stability. According to our simulation results, we find that the more liquid the information flow, the higher the stability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956024
This paper presents a simple experiment on how laypeople form macroeconomic expectations. Subjects have to forecast inflation and GDP growth. By varying the information provided in different treatments, we can assess the importance of historical time-series information versus information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216277
This paper develops a methodology for estimating the parameters of dynamic opinion or expectation formation processes with social interactions. We study a simple stochastic framework of a collective process of opinion formation by a group of agents who face a binary decision problem. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700524
Conjectures about inflation expectations are inextricably linked to our understanding of the relationship between the real and monetary sides of the economy; yet, direct empirical research on the matter has been scarce at best. This paper therefore examines the empirical properties of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700546